Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs put doubters of their place after a Week 1 demolition of the Cardinals. Nevertheless, our NFL betting picks can be wanting on the defensive facet on this TNF conflict with the Chargers, and extra notably which QB will slip up.
Week 2 of NFL betting will get off to a horny begin with an AFC West battle on Thursday Night time Soccer. The Los Angeles Chargers go to the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs in a divisional dance that might go a great distance in deciding who comes out on high of this loaded group of contenders, and I am right here to run down the purpose unfold, whole, and provides my greatest NFL betting picks and predictions.
The Chiefs muzzled any doubters in Week 1, blasting the Arizona Cardinals for 44 factors en path to a simple win and canopy on the highway.
In the meantime, the Bolts seemed like they had been rolling to a one-sided win over the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 however blew a 17-3 halftime lead and narrowly squeaked out a 24-19 win as 3.5-point house favorites.
Chargers vs Chiefs greatest odds
Chargers vs Chiefs picks and predictions
If the whole for this recreation is any indication, Patrick Mahomes goes to be throwing — rather a lot. The Chiefs quarterback threw a modest 39 passes within the one-sided win over Arizona on the weekend, finishing 30 of these tosses with 5 going for touchdowns and 0 ending up as interceptions.
The Cardinals’ secondary was stale bread within the defensive backfield, so the entrance seven introduced the home, blitzing on the majority of dropbacks in an try and disrupt Mahomes. All these further rushers resulted in a goose egg in sacks for Arizona. Mahomes mowed down the Playing cards’ man-to-man protection, particularly when Arizona had linebackers matched up on KC’s speedy WRs.
Enter the Chargers, with a secondary far stingier than Arizona.
Los Angeles’ protection did stable work towards the Raiders in Week 1, boasting an EPA allowed per dropback of -0.148 — eighth greatest in season openers. The Bolts’ ball-hawking secondary additionally recorded three interceptions off Derek Carr.
To enrich these picks, LA had six sacks (and 5 QB knockdowns), producing that strain regardless of blitzing on solely 16% of dropbacks. Los Angeles acquired prompt output from new addition Khalil Mack, who had three sacks, together with 1.5 sacks from defensive linemate Joey Bosa.
With the Chargers in a position to get after the QB with out the necessity for added move rushers, that enables linebackers to drop into zone protection, plug up something beneath and assist out the secondary with defenses leaning to Cowl-2 units vs. Mahomes. Because the pocket shrinks, Mahomes can be pressured into some hurried throws which supplies good worth to the Over 0.5 on his whole interceptions at +105.
Within the two matchups between the Bolts and Chiefs in 2021, Mahomes threw three of his 13 whole interceptions on the season, together with two in a Week 3 loss to Los Angeles at house — considered one of which was a botched catch and unimaginable diving choose from Asante Samuel Jr.
That mentioned, this recreation may flip right into a shootout and the Chargers’ capacity to hurry Mahomes with the entrance 4 and plug up these passing lanes — together with the potential return of CB JC Jackson (Brandon Staley says 50/50) — ought to fire up at the least one wayward move from Pat discovering its approach into the arms of a Los Angeles defender.
My greatest wager: Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 interceptions (+105)
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Chargers vs. Chiefs betting preview
•Unfold evaluation •Over/Underneath evaluation •Sport data •Accidents •Climate •Development to know
The lookahead line for this Week 2 primetime recreation was Kansas Metropolis -3 and most books opened round that key quantity Sunday evening. That rapidly climbed to Chiefs -3.5 throughout the trade.
Los Angeles will seemingly be with out veteran vast receiver Keenan Allen, who suffered a hamstring damage in Week 1 — a tricky ailment to beat on a brief week of relaxation.
Covers NFL betting evaluation
This whole opened as little as 54 factors and has since climbed to 54.5 with early bets on the Over. Some books are pricing the Over 54.5 with added juice, which may point out a transfer to 55 factors as we get nearer to kickoff on Sunday.
The final time these groups met, Kansas Metropolis gained 34-28 in additional time in LA on Dec. 16, 2021 — with the regulation rating enjoying Over the closing whole of 54.5 factors in that contest.
Chargers vs Chiefs recreation data
• Location: GEHA Subject at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas Metropolis, MO
• Date: Thursday, September 15, 2022
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• TV: Amazon Prime
Chargers vs Chiefs key accidents
Chargers vs Chiefs climate
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Chargers vs Chiefs betting development to know
The Chargers are particularly worthwhile as highway underdogs, with a 14-6-3 ATS depend in that position the earlier 5 seasons, together with a 3-1 ATS as highway pups in 2021. Discover extra NFL betting tendencies for Chargers vs. Chiefs.